Maybe it's premature to write anything on this topic, especially when the celebrity in question is not a bit willing to come clean on his 'action plan'.
Who, apart from Mega Star Chiranjeevi, is as eager for his storming of the Telugu political arena ? I mean, who, in addition to him, does stand to gain from his presence in politics ?
I guess, the inevitable and ultimate beneficiary is destined to be the Congress Party. This guess has a few solid and valid reasons to back it up. It did not take the Congress even a full tenure in power to earn this scale of disrepute among people. Its leaders, famished with about a decade-long hunger, have turned broad daylight robbers from Day One, grabbing every tract of land they could set their eyes on, be it private or public. The much-tauted schemes and projects ostentatiously started by the Congress Government are known more for the mind-boggling scandals they gave room for. Its State-level leadership is woefully short of towering personalities to pull enough crowds. The party currently runs a serious risk of biting dust in the hands of its age-old rival, the Telugu Desam party at the hustings. So, the entry of a crowd-puller like Mega Star Chiranjeevi into politics will divide the anti-Congress and pro-Telugu Desam vote bank to an alarming extent, thus finally giving the Congress a fair chance of win.
It, however, depends on which way Chiru turns. The afore-mentioned advantage accrues to the Congress, only if he joins that party or forms his own outfit. But situation will turn otherwise if he decides to join the Telugu Desam, which, however, seems a remote possibility at this point of time.
But the existence of too many parties proves as much ruinous to democracy as only a few, like the case with US. The former fails to ensure a stable government for want of absolute majority and thereby tends to provide a circumstantially valid justification for a future military coup, while the latter leads to an unwritten and secret alliance between the few existing oligarchs who might mutually agree on an alternate arrangement for grabbing power by turns.
Sri Veerappa Moily, in-charge of the AP Congress Affairs blames the ineffectiveness of Telugu Desam in the main Opposition role for the emergence of new parties in the State. I beg to disagree with this observation, even as I respect his long innings in active politics. It depends on the way some people perceive the main opposition. Our society, in spite of participating in a number of electons through decades, is still as good as an adolescent democracy in terms of republican maturity. Here, electoral win or loss are taken not with a sportive or democratic spirit, but only a mindset of war. A measure of democratic wisdom is yet to dawn on our people to make them realize that an electoral setback or two is no case enough to write off a particular ideology or party as irrelevant, let alone being the end of the world for them. Elections, wherever they are held in the world, are generally fought over the kind of issues which are deemed to be of relevance to the immediate present or immediate future at that moment of history. But it is common to hear people commenting "That fella's finished, never to rise again", in the event of a person losing an election. Similarly, it is not infrequent to hear politicians in power rubbishing the opposition demands as a clamour by those rejected by people, forgetting their own political unemployment during their days in the Opposition. So, if Telugu Desam lost an election once in 2004, for many among us, it singularly meant that the party was done for and gone for ever. Therefore, some erroneously think it's high time they filled the perceived or imaginary vaccuum. Many thought on these lines when NTR lost the election in 1989. But he staged more than an impressive comeback in 1994. So did even Congress.
I agree with C.B.Naidu, the former CM of Andhra, who stated that there was always enough room for new entities in democracy, but only two or three of them would manage to catch people's fancy.
When I see the eagerness with which people, especially politicians and journalists, react to the likelihood of Chiru's political debut, I am afraid they are simply over-estimating his fan-following. But I can understand what leads them to believe that he would matter to Andhra politics in no mean way. They had already seen before in the form of late NTR, the levels of havoc that the popularity of a cine personality could wreak on the existing outfits. And now they expect the same miracle to get repeated with Chiru.
It remains to be seen how apt it is to draw a parallel between Chiru and NTR. True, there's no denying the fact that Chiru has the glamour, attraction and crowd-pulling ability. But they by themselves are far from being adequate to make a veritable NTR of him. Yes, he has a popular base, but it's a base confined to a few segments of the Telugu population, unlike NTR. By and large, the base is limited to the youth belonging to a few communities. By contrast, the late leader was held in high esteem by the young and old alike. He was adored by Brahmins and Malas alike. He was obeyed by Kammas and Reddys alike. Both Communists and the Hindu Right steadfastly stood by him simultaneously. His appeal to both Andhra and Telangana regions was overwhelming.
I want someone who is known for his toughness in real life like NTR who bravely defied the then Prime Minister Indira Gandhi.
OK. All said and done, I am for multi-party democracy too. Chiru is entitled to forming one more party. But I can not dream of any fresh debutant delivering something which Naidu or YSR have failed to (i.e. in case they failed at all).
Hello Tadepalli gaaru,
How do you see the political scene of AP now? By now it is clear that Chiru is going on Caste lines, more inclined to his caste people, almost like YSR to his caste people... not that CBN didnt do favors, I believe he is moderate at doing so. And the way Chiru is going on is no different from the other two parties...
Even though congress is still strong with its vote bank, I see that there is equations changing now. BCs started debating in themselves and in kosta, they may tide with their traditional patron TDP. With Chiru drawing major share of hitherto congress vote bank (i,e Kapu sections and some of SCs), BCs more inclined to TDP than ever, and the competence factor of CBN led TDP altogether may favor TDP on the election day... that is my perception.
Curious to know how do you see it after one year you wrote this...